L’École des cotes

Madison Keys v Anna Bondár

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Prévision 79.39%1.26cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -6.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.34%79.76%79.31%85.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.171.181.2490.91%85.23%84.75%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Bondár (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.61%4.85cote équitable
EV +33.97%
Avantage +5.23%
Kelly +6.18%
Croissance +2.10%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.47%20.24%20.69%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.794.706.5025.00%20.90%21.28%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -12.67%E -11.52%K -126.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +33.97%E +5.23%K +6.18%G +2.10%6.3%2026-04-02 19:40
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517%4.8%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517%4.8%2026-04-02 19:40
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -8.70%E -7.57%K -58.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +15.42%E +2.75%K +3.35%G +0.517%4.8%2026-04-02 19:40
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.08%E -9.90%K -92.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +13.36%E +2.43%K +2.97%G +0.397%7.5%2026-04-02 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -11.08%E -9.90%K -92.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +13.36%E +2.43%K +2.97%G +0.397%7.5%2026-04-02 19:40
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +9.24%E +1.74%K +2.15%G +0.199%6.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +5.12%E +1.00%K +1.25%G +0.064%7.3%2026-04-02 19:40
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +5.12%E +1.00%K +1.25%G +0.064%7.3%2026-04-02 19:40
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -10.29%E -9.11%K -79.16%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV +4.09%E +0.809%K +1.01%G +0.041%8.3%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%4.7%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%4.7%2026-04-02 19:40
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%4.7%2026-04-02 19:40
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%4.7%2026-04-02 19:39
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -12.67%E -11.52%K -126.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +3.06%E +0.611%K +0.764%G +0.023%10.9%2026-04-02 19:40
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.62%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.38%EV +1.20%E +0.245%K +0.307%G +0.004%5.1%2026-04-02 19:40
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +0.995%E +0.203%K +0.255%G +0.003%5.2%2026-04-02 19:30
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 19:30
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.07%E -0.222%K -0.281%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 19:40
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.10%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 19:30
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.10%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 19:30
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 19:30
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 19:32
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.91%E -6.82%K -49.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 19:40
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 80.48%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -3.13%E -0.665%K -0.845%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 19:24
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 19:35
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.19%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 19:35
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.22%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 19:34
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -3.94%E -3.26%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -6.43%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 19:33
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 19:30
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:35
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 19:40
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.50%E -8.33%K -67.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.25%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 19:29
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 19:39
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 19:35
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.31%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.12%E -6.08%K -41.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -10.34%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 19:39
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.73%E -3.94%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -10.75%E -2.48%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.53%E -4.64%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -11.37%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -12.40%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 19:24
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -6.32%E -5.36%K -35.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -15.49%E -3.78%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-02 19:35
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -1.56%E -1.26%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 19:35
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.15%E -2.58%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -17.56%E -4.39%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-04-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-02 19:40
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-04-02 19:40
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%2.2%2026-04-02 19:40
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.08%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.92%2.4%2026-04-02 19:40