Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez v Diana Shnaider

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prediction 36.79%2.72fair odd
EV +4.49%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.110%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%36.77%36.76%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.8441.67%38.87%38.46%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 63.21%1.58fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%63.23%63.24%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.491.5669.93%67.03%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 36.79%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 63.21%. For Leylah Fernandez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV +4.49%E +1.58%K +2.44%G +0.110%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV +1.91%E +0.691%K +1.08%G +0.021%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 16:51
FanDuel🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.13%E -0.802%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 16:30
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.50%E -0.944%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 16:28
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:18
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:18
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
SportsBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 15:25
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 12:50
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:14
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:15
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 16:47
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.08%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 15:19
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.58%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.92%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.40%E -0.895%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.92%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.40%E -0.895%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:19
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.67%EV -9.12%E -3.69%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 15:40
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 15:40
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:55
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 16:55
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-04-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-04-02 16:55
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-04-02 16:55
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%1.8%2026-04-02 16:55
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%2.3%2026-04-02 16:55