La escuela de los momios

Leylah Fernandez v Diana Shnaider

Inicio: 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Predicción 36.79%2.72momio equitativo
EV +4.49%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +2.44%
Crecimiento +0.110%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.05%36.77%36.76%39.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.8441.67%38.87%38.46%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 63.21%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.895%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.76%63.23%63.24%65.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.491.5669.93%67.03%67.11%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV +4.49%E +1.58%K +2.44%G +0.110%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 16:55
DraftKings2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV +1.91%E +0.691%K +1.08%G +0.021%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 16:51
FanDuel2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.13%E -0.802%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 16:30
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.50%E -0.944%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 16:28
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:18
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:20
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:40
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:18
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 16:30
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 15:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 12:50
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:14
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:15
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:15
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:15
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 16:47
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.08%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 16:55
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 16:54
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:35
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:55
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 16:54
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:19
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:19
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 15:19
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.58%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 15:40
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.92%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.40%E -0.895%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 16:55
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.92%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.40%E -0.895%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:19
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:19
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.67%EV -9.12%E -3.69%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 15:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 15:40
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 16:55
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-04-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-04-02 16:55
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-04-02 16:55
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%1.8%2026-04-02 16:55
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%2.3%2026-04-02 16:55