L’École des cotes

Leylah Fernandez v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prévision 36.79%2.72cote équitable
EV +4.49%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +2.44%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.05%36.77%36.76%39.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.8441.67%38.87%38.46%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.21%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.895%
Kelly -2.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%63.23%63.24%65.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.491.5669.93%67.03%67.11%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV +4.49%E +1.58%K +2.44%G +0.110%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-02 16:55
DraftKings2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV +1.91%E +0.691%K +1.08%G +0.021%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 16:51
FanDuel2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.13%E -0.802%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 16:30
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.50%E -0.944%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 16:28
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:18
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:20
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:20
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:40
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:18
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:19
SportsBet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 16:30
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 15:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.98%E -6.24%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 12:50
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:55
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:14
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:15
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:15
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 09:15
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 16:47
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.08%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 16:55
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 16:54
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:35
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:55
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 16:54
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:19
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.08%E -4.82%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:19
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.35%E -5.76%K -18.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 15:19
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.55%E -2.58%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 15:40
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.92%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.40%E -0.895%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 16:55
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -6.92%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -1.40%E -0.895%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:19
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:19
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.67%EV -9.12%E -3.69%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 15:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 15:40
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 16:55
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 15:14
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.61%E -6.72%K -22.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-02 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-04-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-04-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-04-02 16:55
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-04-02 16:55
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.02%1.8%2026-04-02 16:55
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%2.3%2026-04-02 16:55