Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula v Yulia Putintseva

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 17:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prediction 88.38%1.13fair odd
EV +0.758%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +5.41%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.09%88.18%88.82%91.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.091.091.1498.04%92.07%91.74%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yulia Putintseva (Visit)

Prediction 11.62%8.61fair odd
EV +39.39%
Edge +3.28%
Kelly +3.58%
Growth +1.41%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.05%11.82%11.18%16.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.607.286.7512.0017.86%13.73%14.81%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 88.38%; Yulia Putintseva (Visit): 11.62%. For Yulia Putintseva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.61. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +39.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +39.39%E +3.28%K +3.58%G +1.41%3.6%2026-04-01 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +21.97%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.508%7.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +21.97%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.508%7.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.16%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.290%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%5.5%2026-04-01 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.68%EV -8.96%E -8.70%K -298.82%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.32%EV +3.96%E +0.443%K +0.499%G +0.020%8.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.138%G +0.001%5.0%2026-04-01 17:04
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -8.96%E -8.70%K -298.82%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -4.17%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:04
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -23.45%E -3.56%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -23.45%E -3.56%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:01
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -24.50%E -3.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 17:03
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -25.66%E -4.01%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -25.66%E -4.01%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -29.14%E -4.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -29.14%E -4.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:59
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:03
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 16:55
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:00
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -31.47%E -5.33%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:57
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -32.63%E -5.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -32.63%E -5.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -33.21%E -5.78%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:59
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -33.21%E -5.78%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -34.37%E -6.08%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:54
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -34.95%E -6.24%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -34.95%E -6.24%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-01 17:05
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%4.2%2026-04-01 17:05