L’École des cotes

Jessica Pegula v Yulia Putintseva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 17:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 88.38%1.13cote équitable
EV +0.758%
Avantage +0.665%
Kelly +5.41%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.09%88.18%88.82%91.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.091.091.1498.04%92.07%91.74%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yulia Putintseva (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.62%8.61cote équitable
EV +39.39%
Avantage +3.28%
Kelly +3.58%
Croissance +1.41%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.05%11.82%11.18%16.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.607.286.7512.0017.86%13.73%14.81%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +39.39%E +3.28%K +3.58%G +1.41%3.6%2026-04-01 17:05
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +21.97%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.508%7.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +21.97%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.508%7.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.16%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.290%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%5.5%2026-04-01 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
888sport1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Fliff1.03I 97.09%NM 89.68%EV -8.96%E -8.70%K -298.82%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.32%EV +3.96%E +0.443%K +0.499%G +0.020%8.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.138%G +0.001%5.0%2026-04-01 17:04
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -8.96%E -8.70%K -298.82%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -4.17%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:05
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:04
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 17:05
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 17:05
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 17:04
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -23.45%E -3.56%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:01
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -23.45%E -3.56%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:01
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -24.50%E -3.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 17:03
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -25.66%E -4.01%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -25.66%E -4.01%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -29.14%E -4.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -29.14%E -4.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 17:05
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:59
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:00
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:55
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:03
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 16:55
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:00
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -31.47%E -5.33%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:57
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -32.63%E -5.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -32.63%E -5.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 16:55
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -33.21%E -5.78%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:59
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -33.21%E -5.78%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 16:54
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -34.37%E -6.08%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:54
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -34.95%E -6.24%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -34.95%E -6.24%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 16:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-01 17:05
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%4.2%2026-04-01 17:05