La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Yulia Putintseva

Inicio: 2026-04-01 17:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 88.38%1.13momio equitativo
EV +0.758%
Ventaja +0.665%
Kelly +5.41%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.09%88.18%88.82%91.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.091.091.1498.04%92.07%91.74%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Yulia Putintseva (Visitante)

Predicción 11.62%8.61momio equitativo
EV +39.39%
Ventaja +3.28%
Kelly +3.58%
Crecimiento +1.41%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.05%11.82%11.18%16.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.607.286.7512.0017.86%13.73%14.81%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +39.39%E +3.28%K +3.58%G +1.41%3.6%2026-04-01 17:05
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +21.97%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.508%7.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -9.85%E -9.66%K -492.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +21.97%E +2.09%K +2.31%G +0.508%7.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +16.16%E +1.62%K +1.80%G +0.290%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%5.5%2026-04-01 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
888sport1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
888sport (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.02%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%7.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Fliff1.03I 97.09%NM 89.68%EV -8.96%E -8.70%K -298.82%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.32%EV +3.96%E +0.443%K +0.499%G +0.020%8.3%2026-04-01 17:05
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.138%G +0.001%5.0%2026-04-01 17:04
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -8.96%E -8.70%K -298.82%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -4.17%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:05
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:05
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 17:04
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 17:05
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 17:05
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 17:05
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -21.59%E -3.20%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 17:04
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -23.45%E -3.56%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:01
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -23.45%E -3.56%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 17:01
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -24.50%E -3.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 17:03
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -25.66%E -4.01%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -25.66%E -4.01%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -27.40%E -4.38%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -29.14%E -4.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 17:05
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -29.14%E -4.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 17:05
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:59
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 17:00
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 16:55
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -1.01%E -0.902%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 17:03
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 16:55
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -30.30%E -5.05%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 17:00
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -31.47%E -5.33%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:57
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -32.63%E -5.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -32.63%E -5.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 16:55
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -33.21%E -5.78%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:59
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -0.126%E -0.112%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -33.21%E -5.78%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 16:54
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -34.37%E -6.08%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:54
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV +0.758%E +0.665%K +5.41%G +0.041%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -34.95%E -6.24%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -1.89%E -1.71%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -34.95%E -6.24%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-01 17:05
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-04-01 17:05
ProphetX1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%4.2%2026-04-01 17:05