Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 77.34%1.29fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.414%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%77.33%77.21%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.221.221.3087.72%81.76%81.97%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit)
Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV +13.32%
Edge +2.66%
Kelly +3.33%
Growth +0.443%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.70%22.67%22.79%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.074.005.0028.57%24.59%25.00%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 77.34%; Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit): 22.66%. For Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.06%E -9.62%K -73.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +13.32%E +2.66%K +3.33%G +0.443% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +7.65%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.156% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +7.65%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.156% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +4.25%E +0.924%K +1.18%G +0.050% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 17:12 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 17:13 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 17:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -11.84%E -10.38%K -84.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV +1.30%E +0.292%K +0.376%G +0.005% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +0.852%E +0.191%K +0.247%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.281%E -0.064%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV -0.961%E -0.220%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -2.55%E -0.593%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.68%E -0.866%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.68%E -0.866%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 17:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 16:47 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.10%E -3.31%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.10%E -3.31%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -17.28%E -4.73%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -17.28%E -4.73%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -19.55%E -5.51%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +0.538%E +0.414%K +1.79%G +0.010% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -20.68%E -5.91%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.01%E -0.788%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.68%E -5.91%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19% | 1.5% | 2026-04-02 17:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.08% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.92% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 17:15 |