La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Inicio: 2026-04-02 17:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 77.34%1.29momio equitativo
EV +0.538%
Ventaja +0.414%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%77.33%77.21%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.221.221.3087.72%81.76%81.97%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visitante)

Predicción 22.66%4.41momio equitativo
EV +13.32%
Ventaja +2.66%
Kelly +3.33%
Crecimiento +0.443%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.70%22.67%22.79%27.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.074.005.0028.57%24.59%25.00%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.06%E -9.62%K -73.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +13.32%E +2.66%K +3.33%G +0.443%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +7.65%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.156%4.4%2026-04-02 17:05
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +7.65%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.156%5.8%2026-04-02 17:15
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +4.25%E +0.924%K +1.18%G +0.050%5.8%2026-04-02 17:12
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.2%2026-04-02 17:13
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.2%2026-04-02 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.9%2026-04-02 17:00
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.9%2026-04-02 17:09
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.9%2026-04-02 17:08
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -11.84%E -10.38%K -84.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%9.9%2026-04-02 17:00
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV +1.30%E +0.292%K +0.376%G +0.005%5.0%2026-04-02 17:05
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +0.852%E +0.191%K +0.247%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-02 17:14
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.281%E -0.064%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 17:00
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV -0.961%E -0.220%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -2.55%E -0.593%K -0.772%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 17:15
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.68%E -0.866%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 17:01
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.68%E -0.866%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 17:10
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 17:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 17:15
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 17:01
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 17:00
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:15
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:14
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 16:59
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 16:47
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 17:15
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:15
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 17:15
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 17:15
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:15
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:14
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:15
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:14
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:15
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:15
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.10%E -3.31%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:15
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:15
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:15
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 17:14
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.10%E -3.31%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -17.28%E -4.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -17.28%E -4.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 17:15
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -19.55%E -5.51%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 17:14
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +0.538%E +0.414%K +1.79%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -20.68%E -5.91%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 17:14
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.01%E -0.788%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.68%E -5.91%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-02 17:15
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-02 17:15
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-04-02 17:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 78.08%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.92%5.8%2026-04-02 17:15