A Escola das Odds

Jessica Pegula v Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Início: 2026-04-02 17:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 77.34%1.29odd justa
EV +0.538%
Vantagem +0.414%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.92%77.33%77.21%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.141.221.221.3087.72%81.76%81.97%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visitante)

Previsão 22.66%4.41odd justa
EV +13.32%
Vantagem +2.66%
Kelly +3.33%
Crescimento +0.443%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.70%22.67%22.79%27.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.074.005.0028.57%24.59%25.00%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.06%E -9.62%K -73.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +13.32%E +2.66%K +3.33%G +0.443%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +7.65%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.156%4.4%2026-04-02 17:05
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +7.65%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.156%5.8%2026-04-02 17:15
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +4.25%E +0.924%K +1.18%G +0.050%5.8%2026-04-02 17:12
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.2%2026-04-02 17:13
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.2%2026-04-02 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.9%2026-04-02 17:00
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.9%2026-04-02 17:09
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%4.9%2026-04-02 17:08
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -11.84%E -10.38%K -84.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV +1.98%E +0.441%K +0.567%G +0.011%9.9%2026-04-02 17:00
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 78.70%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.30%EV +1.30%E +0.292%K +0.376%G +0.005%5.0%2026-04-02 17:05
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +0.852%E +0.191%K +0.247%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-02 17:14
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.281%E -0.064%K -0.083%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 17:00
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV -0.961%E -0.220%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -2.55%E -0.593%K -0.772%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 17:15
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.68%E -0.866%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 17:01
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.68%E -0.866%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 17:10
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 17:00
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 17:15
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.74%E -7.41%K -48.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.42%E -5.31%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 17:01
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 17:00
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:15
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:14
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 16:59
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 16:47
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.97%E -6.70%K -41.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -9.35%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 17:15
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 17:15
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 17:15
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 17:15
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:15
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:14
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:15
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:14
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:15
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.56%E -2.03%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.75%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:15
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.10%E -3.31%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.88%E -3.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:15
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:15
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:15
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.33%E -2.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.65%E -4.63%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -16.15%E -4.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 17:14
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.10%E -3.31%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -17.28%E -4.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -4.88%E -3.96%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -17.28%E -4.73%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 17:15
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -7.20%E -6.00%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -19.55%E -5.51%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 17:14
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV +0.538%E +0.414%K +1.79%G +0.010%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -20.68%E -5.91%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 17:14
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.01%E -0.788%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.68%E -5.91%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-02 17:15
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-02 17:15
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-04-02 17:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 78.08%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.92%5.8%2026-04-02 17:15