Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hailey Baptiste v Renata Zarazua

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Prediction 69.76%1.43fair odd
EV +4.64%
Edge +3.09%
Kelly +9.28%
Growth +0.431%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%69.28%69.98%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.331.5076.92%74.33%74.91%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Renata Zarazua (Visit)

Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd
EV +5.84%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.136%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%30.72%30.02%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.503.133.193.5040.00%31.90%31.40%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hailey Baptiste (Local): 69.76%; Renata Zarazua (Visit): 30.24%. For Renata Zarazua (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +4.64%E +3.09%K +9.28%G +0.431%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -24.40%E -9.76%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +1.15%E +0.795%K +2.56%G +0.030%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -16.84%E -6.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -0.243%E -0.170%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -0.940%E -0.662%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -13.82%E -4.85%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -1.64%E -1.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:10
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.84%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:01
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:01
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -0.814%E -0.248%K -0.357%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:58
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.82%E +0.828%K +1.17%G +0.033%4.6%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:59
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV +2.21%E +0.654%K +0.929%G +0.021%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +5.84%E +1.67%K +2.34%G +0.136%5.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.209%E -0.063%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:57
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-02 00:10
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%2.6%2026-04-02 00:10
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10