Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hailey Baptiste v Renata Zarazua

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Prévision 69.76%1.43cote équitable
EV +4.64%
Avantage +3.09%
Kelly +9.28%
Croissance +0.431%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%69.28%69.98%72.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.331.5076.92%74.33%74.91%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Renata Zarazua (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.24%3.31cote équitable
EV +5.84%
Avantage +1.67%
Kelly +2.34%
Croissance +0.136%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%30.72%30.02%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.503.133.193.5040.00%31.90%31.40%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hailey Baptiste (Local) : 69.76% ; Renata Zarazua (Visiteur) : 30.24%. Pour Renata Zarazua (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.31. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +5.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +4.64%E +3.09%K +9.28%G +0.431%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -24.40%E -9.76%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +1.15%E +0.795%K +2.56%G +0.030%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -16.84%E -6.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -0.243%E -0.170%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -0.940%E -0.662%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -13.82%E -4.85%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -1.64%E -1.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:00
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:10
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 00:00
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.84%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:01
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:01
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -0.814%E -0.248%K -0.357%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:58
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.82%E +0.828%K +1.17%G +0.033%4.6%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:59
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 23:59
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV +2.21%E +0.654%K +0.929%G +0.021%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +5.84%E +1.67%K +2.34%G +0.136%5.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.209%E -0.063%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:57
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-02 00:10
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%2.6%2026-04-02 00:10
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10