La escuela de los momios

Hailey Baptiste v Renata Zarazua

Inicio: 2026-04-02 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Predicción 69.76%1.43momio equitativo
EV +4.64%
Ventaja +3.09%
Kelly +9.28%
Crecimiento +0.431%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%69.28%69.98%72.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.331.5076.92%74.33%74.91%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Renata Zarazua (Visitante)

Predicción 30.24%3.31momio equitativo
EV +5.84%
Ventaja +1.67%
Kelly +2.34%
Crecimiento +0.136%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%30.72%30.02%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.503.133.193.5040.00%31.90%31.40%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +4.64%E +3.09%K +9.28%G +0.431%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -24.40%E -9.76%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:09
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +1.15%E +0.795%K +2.56%G +0.030%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -16.84%E -6.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -0.243%E -0.170%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:09
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -0.940%E -0.662%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -13.82%E -4.85%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 00:09
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -1.64%E -1.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 00:09
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:00
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:10
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 00:00
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -3.84%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 00:09
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:04
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:01
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 00:01
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -0.814%E -0.248%K -0.357%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 00:00
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:58
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:01
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +2.82%E +0.828%K +1.17%G +0.033%4.6%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +1.30%E +0.389%K +0.555%G +0.007%5.0%2026-04-02 00:10
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:59
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:10
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.79%E -3.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-01 23:59
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV +2.21%E +0.654%K +0.929%G +0.021%5.3%2026-04-02 00:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.72%E -0.529%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +5.84%E +1.67%K +2.34%G +0.136%5.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -0.209%E -0.063%K -0.091%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:57
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -9.31%E -7.16%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-02 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-02 00:10
ProphetX1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-04-02 00:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 70.64%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.36%2.6%2026-04-02 00:10
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.54%8.2%2026-04-02 00:10