Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tereza Valentova v Taylor Townsend

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 22:17 UTC

Final: Tereza Valentova 0–2 Taylor Townsend

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tereza Valentova (Local)

Prediction 64.50%1.55fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.864%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.48%64.29%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.72%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Townsend (Visit)

Prediction 35.50%2.82fair odd
EV -0.588%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.326%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.52%35.71%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.622.8041.67%38.19%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tereza Valentova (Local): 64.50%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 35.50%. For Taylor Townsend (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.588%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -5.56%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 21:59
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 21:39
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.62%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:14
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.98%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 21:55
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 08:14
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:15
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:39
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.43%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.85%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 22:14
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 22:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 08:59
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 22:13
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -9.82%E -3.87%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 22:15
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.49%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.30%E -0.467%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 15:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 22:07
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.62%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.98%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 22:15
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 20:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.95%E -4.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.588%E -0.210%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 22:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 22:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.79%E -6.16%K -10.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.71%E -6.93%K -24.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-03 22:15
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-08-03 22:11
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-08-03 22:15

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