Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tereza Valentova v Taylor Townsend

Início: 2026-08-03 22:17 UTC

Final: Tereza Valentova 0–2 Taylor Townsend

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tereza Valentova (Local)

Previsão 64.50%1.55odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.864%
Kelly -2.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%64.48%64.29%66.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.72%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Taylor Townsend (Visitante)

Previsão 35.50%2.82odd justa
EV -0.588%
Vantagem -0.210%
Kelly -0.326%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.81%35.52%35.71%37.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.622.622.8041.67%38.19%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tereza Valentova (Local): 64.50%; Taylor Townsend (Visitante): 35.50%. Para Taylor Townsend (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.80, com valor esperado de -0.588%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -5.56%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 21:59
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 21:39
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.62%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:14
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.98%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 21:55
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 08:14
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 22:15
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:39
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 22:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.43%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.85%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 22:14
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 22:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 08:59
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 22:13
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:40
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -9.82%E -3.87%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 22:15
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.49%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.30%E -0.467%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:14
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 15:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:15
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 22:07
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 22:14
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.62%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.98%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 22:15
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 20:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.95%E -4.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.588%E -0.210%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 22:15
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 22:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.79%E -6.16%K -10.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.71%E -6.93%K -24.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-03 22:15
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-08-03 22:15
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-08-03 22:11
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-08-03 22:15