Idioma:Español
Tereza Valentova v Taylor Townsend
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tereza Valentova (Local)
Predicción 64.50%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.864%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.48%64.29%66.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.72%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Taylor Townsend (Visitante)
Predicción 35.50%2.82momio equitativo
EV -0.588%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.326%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.81%35.52%35.71%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.622.8041.67%38.19%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tereza Valentova (Local): 64.50%; Taylor Townsend (Visitante): 35.50%. Para Taylor Townsend (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.82. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.80, con un valor esperado de -0.588%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -5.56%E -2.09%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -1.32%E -0.864%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 21:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 21:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.62%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.98%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 08:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.26%E -2.17%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.43%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.90%E -2.62%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.85%E -1.81%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 22:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 08:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.46%E -3.71%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -9.82%E -3.87%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.07%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.24%E -4.50%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.49%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -1.30%E -0.467%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.48%E -4.47%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 22:07 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.91%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.62%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.98%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.69%E -2.96%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 20:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.27%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.73%EV -11.95%E -4.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.77%E -5.43%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.588%E -0.210%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.36%E -0.859%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 22:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -14.79%E -6.16%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.71%E -6.93%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.14%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 22:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 2.5% | 2026-08-03 22:15 |