Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tatjana Maria v Caty McNally

2026-08-03 14:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tatjana Maria (Local)

Prediction 41.92%2.39fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.19%41.79%41.98%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.47%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Caty McNally (Visit)

Prediction 58.08%1.72fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.21%58.02%60.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.621.631.6868.97%61.60%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tatjana Maria (Local): 41.92%; Caty McNally (Visit): 58.08%. For Tatjana Maria (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.35, with an expected value of -1.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.48%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 14:15
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.48%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.32%E -0.995%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 13:00
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.74%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.43%E -1.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.74%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 12:54
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:10
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:45
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:45
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:45
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:40
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:40
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.25%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 14:29
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:20
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:29
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:29
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -15.79%E -10.89%K -35.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 13:40
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -6.09%E -2.72%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.59%E -2.16%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:09
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.59%E -2.16%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.93%E -3.12%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.35%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:45
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.08%E -4.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:05
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.08%E -4.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:29
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.08%E -4.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:30
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.61%E -3.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:55
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.61%E -3.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 12:45
ReBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.61%E -3.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -9.03%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.86%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.86%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.86%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.96%E -5.70%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.40%E -6.03%K -16.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.96%E -5.70%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.40%E -6.03%K -16.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-02 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-02 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-02 13:30
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-02 13:35
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-08-02 14:10
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-08-02 14:10