Language:English
Tatjana Maria v Caty McNally
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tatjana Maria (Local)
Prediction 39.79%2.51fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.574%
Kelly +0.945%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.49%39.76%39.95%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.65%41.75%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Caty McNally (Visit)
Prediction 60.21%1.66fair odd
EV -0.653%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%60.24%60.05%63.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.551.551.6574.07%64.68%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tatjana Maria (Local): 39.79%; Caty McNally (Visit): 60.21%. For Tatjana Maria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.574%K +0.945%G +0.014% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.574%K +0.945%G +0.014% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.271%E +0.107%K +0.178%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.28%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 00:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -1.72%E -0.696%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -1.72%E -0.696%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -10.29%E -6.90%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -10.29%E -6.90%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.86%E -1.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 00:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -12.70%E -8.76%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.90%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.90%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 00:32 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 00:32 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 00:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 00:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 08:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.87%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 00:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -14.50%E -10.21%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.49%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -18.72%E -13.86%K -53.48%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.09%E -3.50%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.88%E -3.88%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.653%E -0.396%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.653%E -0.396%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.86%E -1.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 00:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.28%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
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