Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tatjana Maria v Caty McNally

Início: 2026-08-04 00:45 UTC

Final: Tatjana Maria 1–2 Caty McNally

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

40%

60%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tatjana Maria (Local)

Previsão 39.79%2.51odd justa

EV +1.46%

Vantagem +0.574%

Kelly +0.945%

Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

36.49%39.76%39.95%42.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.65%41.75%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Caty McNally (Visitante)

Previsão 60.21%1.66odd justa

EV -0.653%

Vantagem -0.396%

Kelly -1.01%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

57.59%60.24%60.05%63.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.351.551.551.6574.07%64.68%64.52%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tatjana Maria (Local): 39.79%; Caty McNally (Visitante): 60.21%. Para Tatjana Maria (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.51. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.574%K +0.945%G +0.014%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-03 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.574%K +0.945%G +0.014%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-03 21:30
FanDuel🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.271%E +0.107%K +0.178%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.28%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-04 00:44
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 00:28
BetUS🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 00:19
Paddy Power🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 00:44
Sky Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-03 21:44
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-03 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-03 21:45
Unibet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 00:45
Casumo🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 00:44
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 00:44
betPARX🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 00:44
BetRivers🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 00:45
BetAnything🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -1.72%E -0.696%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-03 21:30
SportsBet🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -1.72%E -0.696%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 00:44
Bovada🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-03 21:30
Grosvenor🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -10.29%E -6.90%K -20.99%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 00:45
TABtouch🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -10.29%E -6.90%K -20.99%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 00:44
Bally Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-04 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-04 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-04 00:44
Coolbet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.86%E -1.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-04 00:41
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-03 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-03 18:39
LeoVegas🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -12.70%E -8.76%K -28.21%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-04 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.90%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-04 00:39
DraftKings🎯	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.90%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 00:40
betfred_uk🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-04 00:35
888sport🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-04 00:32
888sport (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-04 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-04 00:32
Bet Victor🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-03 23:49
betano_uk🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-03 23:54
William Hill🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-04 00:33
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 00:42
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-03 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-03 08:59
ReBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-03 22:04
Fanatics🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 00:45
Betr (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.87%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 00:41
NordicBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 00:44
Neds🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-03 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-03 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -14.50%E -10.21%K -34.53%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-04 00:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.49%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -18.72%E -13.86%K -53.48%G +0.000%	16.6%	2026-08-04 00:45
1xBet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.09%E -3.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-04 00:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-04 00:45
Betsson🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.88%E -3.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-04 00:44
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.653%E -0.396%K -1.01%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 00:44
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.653%E -0.396%K -1.01%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 00:44
PlayUp🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.86%E -1.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 00:20
Fliff🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.28%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-04 00:39
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 00:44
Coral🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 00:44

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Matchbook◎	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%	0.7%	2026-08-04 00:45
Novig◎	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	0.9%	2026-08-04 00:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%	1.0%	2026-08-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%	1.0%	2026-08-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%	1.0%	2026-08-04 00:45
ProphetX◎	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%	1.9%	2026-08-04 00:45
Smarkets◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%	2.8%	2026-08-04 00:45