Idioma:Español
Tatjana Maria v Caty McNally
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tatjana Maria (Local)
Predicción 39.79%2.51momio equitativo
EV +1.46%
Ventaja +0.574%
Kelly +0.945%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.49%39.76%39.95%42.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.65%41.75%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Caty McNally (Visitante)
Predicción 60.21%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.653%
Ventaja -0.396%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%60.24%60.05%63.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.551.551.6574.07%64.68%64.52%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tatjana Maria (Local): 39.79%; Caty McNally (Visitante): 60.21%. Para Tatjana Maria (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.574%K +0.945%G +0.014% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +1.46%E +0.574%K +0.945%G +0.014% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.271%E +0.107%K +0.178%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.28%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 00:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.525%E -0.210%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -1.72%E -0.696%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -1.72%E -0.696%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -9.68%E -6.46%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -10.29%E -6.90%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -10.29%E -6.90%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -2.51%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.89%E -7.36%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.86%E -1.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 00:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -12.70%E -8.76%K -28.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.90%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.90%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 00:32 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 00:32 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 23:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 23:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.30%E -2.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 00:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 00:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 08:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.66%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.87%E -3.08%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 00:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.47%E -3.48%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -14.50%E -10.21%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.49%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -18.72%E -13.86%K -53.48%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.09%E -3.50%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.67%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -8.88%E -3.88%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.653%E -0.396%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.653%E -0.396%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.86%E -1.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 00:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.28%E -4.72%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.06%E -1.90%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 00:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 00:45 |