Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tatjana Maria v Caty McNally

2026-08-03 14:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tatjana Maria (Local)

Predicción 41.92%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.630%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.19%41.79%41.98%45.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.082.242.252.3548.08%44.60%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Caty McNally (Visitante)

Predicción 58.08%1.72momio equitativo
EV +0.472%
Ventaja +0.273%
Kelly +0.647%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.74%58.21%58.02%60.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.631.631.7368.97%61.40%61.35%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tatjana Maria (Local): 41.92%; Caty McNally (Visitante): 58.08%. Para Caty McNally (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.72. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.73, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.472%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -11.96%E -5.70%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +0.472%E +0.273%K +0.647%G +0.003%5.4%2026-08-02 15:25
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -11.96%E -5.70%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +0.472%E +0.273%K +0.647%G +0.003%5.4%2026-08-02 15:25
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -12.80%E -6.15%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -0.108%E -0.063%K -0.151%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 15:25
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.74%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.43%E -1.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.74%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 12:54
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.86%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.86%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:29
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -6.09%E -2.72%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.59%E -2.16%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:09
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.51%E -2.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.59%E -2.16%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.48%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 14:15
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.48%E -0.630%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.32%E -0.995%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 13:00
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.25%E -2.32%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 14:29
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:20
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:20
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 13:35
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.61%E -3.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:55
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:45
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:45
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:45
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:40
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:39
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 08:40
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.41%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.93%E -3.12%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.34%E -3.27%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
Unibet (UK)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.35%E -3.33%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.92%E -3.65%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:50
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:55
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.61%E -3.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 12:45
ReBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.61%E -3.95%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.50%E -4.04%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.08%E -4.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:05
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.08%E -4.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:29
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.77%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.08%E -4.42%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:30
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.58%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:10
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:49
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 14:40
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -9.03%E -4.16%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -8.82%E -5.62%K -15.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:04
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.96%E -5.70%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.40%E -6.03%K -16.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.96%E -5.70%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.40%E -6.03%K -16.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -5.67%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -15.79%E -10.89%K -35.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-02 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-02 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-02 13:30
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-02 13:35
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-08-02 14:55
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-08-02 15:15