Language:English
Sorana Cirstea v Maya Joint
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prediction 71.30%1.40fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -6.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%71.41%71.27%74.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3778.74%75.06%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maya Joint (Visit)
Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV +7.64%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +2.78%
Growth +0.212%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%28.59%28.73%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.7533.33%30.71%30.77%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 71.30%; Maya Joint (Visit): 28.70%. For Maya Joint (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -8.03%E -6.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +7.64%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.212% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.63%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.462%E +0.132%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 11:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -0.974%E -0.282%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.04%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.31%E -5.63%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.03%E -6.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.45%E -7.44%K -35.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.31%E -5.63%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 12:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.04%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 23:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.04%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.03%E -6.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -8.03%E -6.22%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -8.72%E -2.74%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 23:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.32%E -1.70%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.02%E -3.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.04%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.02%E -3.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.02%E -3.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 23:28 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.02%E -3.55%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.45%E -4.08%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.45%E -4.08%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.89%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |