Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sorana Cirstea v Maya Joint

2026-08-05 21:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Prediction 74.15%1.35fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -9.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.04%74.06%74.13%75.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.48%78.74%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maya Joint (Visit)

Prediction 25.85%3.87fair odd
EV +0.828%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.285%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.94%25.87%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.633.653.9030.77%27.53%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 74.15%; Maya Joint (Visit): 25.85%. For Maya Joint (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.90, producing a positive expected value of +0.828%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +0.828%E +0.212%K +0.285%G +0.002%5.6%2026-08-04 15:15
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.76%E -0.463%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 17:44
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.76%E -0.463%K -0.628%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 15:15
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -2.27%E -0.602%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 06:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 12:49
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:39
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:39
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 20:24
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 19:05
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -4.60%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 15:15
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.64%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:15
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.64%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:35
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.64%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 10:54
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.80%E -7.15%K -38.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -5.64%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 21:34
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.89%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.89%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.87%E -2.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:13
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:39
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:10
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:05
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 15:15
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 11:10
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 15:20
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 06:59
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.87%E -2.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:15
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:40
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:10
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:40
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:05
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -9.54%E -7.82%K -43.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 15:15
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -2.87%E -2.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -9.77%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:10
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:18
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:10
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.80%E -7.15%K -38.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.98%E -4.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%3.0%2026-08-04 23:05
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 65.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 34.29%27.9%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 61.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 38.60%28.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 61.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 38.60%28.2%2026-08-04 23:05
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 47.64%1.11I 90.09%NM 52.36%72.1%2026-08-04 22:00