Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sorana Cirstea v Maya Joint

2026-08-05 21:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Predicción 74.15%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -9.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.04%74.06%74.13%75.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.48%78.74%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Maya Joint (Visitante)

Predicción 25.85%3.87momio equitativo
EV +0.828%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.285%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%25.94%25.87%27.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.633.653.9030.77%27.53%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 74.15%; Maya Joint (Visitante): 25.85%. Para Maya Joint (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.87. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.828%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +0.828%E +0.212%K +0.285%G +0.002%5.6%2026-08-04 15:15
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.76%E -0.463%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 17:44
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.76%E -0.463%K -0.628%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 15:15
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -2.27%E -0.602%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 06:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 12:49
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:00
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 06:59
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 07:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:39
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.05%E -0.813%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:39
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 20:24
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 19:05
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -4.60%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 15:15
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.64%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:15
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.64%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:35
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.64%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 10:54
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.80%E -7.15%K -38.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -5.64%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 21:34
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.89%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -5.89%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.87%E -2.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:13
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:39
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:10
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:05
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.83%E -4.59%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 15:15
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 11:10
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 15:20
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.32%E -5.85%K -29.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.93%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 06:59
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.87%E -2.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:15
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:45
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:10
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:10
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.09%E -3.98%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 23:44
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:05
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.58%E -5.22%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -9.54%E -7.82%K -43.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 15:15
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -2.87%E -2.19%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -9.77%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:10
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.81%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:45
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:18
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.35%E -3.37%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.10%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:10
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.61%E -2.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 15:10
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.80%E -7.15%K -38.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.98%E -4.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 15:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%4.9%2026-08-04 23:50
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.5%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 48.16%1.18I 84.75%NM 51.84%63.5%2026-08-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 48.16%1.18I 84.75%NM 51.84%63.5%2026-08-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 49.79%1.18I 84.75%NM 50.21%68.8%2026-08-04 23:20
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 47.64%1.11I 90.09%NM 52.36%72.1%2026-08-04 23:40