Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sorana Cirstea v Maya Joint

Início: 2026-08-05 23:33 UTC

Final: Sorana Cirstea 0–2 Maya Joint

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Previsão 71.30%1.40odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -1.70%
Kelly -6.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.28%71.41%71.27%74.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.331.331.3778.74%75.06%75.19%72.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Maya Joint (Visitante)

Previsão 28.70%3.48odd justa
EV +7.64%
Vantagem +2.04%
Kelly +2.78%
Crescimento +0.212%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%28.59%28.73%30.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.263.253.7533.33%30.71%30.77%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 71.30%; Maya Joint (Visitante): 28.70%. Para Maya Joint (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.48. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.64%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -8.03%E -6.22%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +7.64%E +2.04%K +2.78%G +0.212%4.2%2026-08-05 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.63%K -24.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.462%E +0.132%K +0.185%G +0.001%5.5%2026-08-05 11:35
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -0.974%E -0.282%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.04%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 23:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 12:35
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.31%E -5.63%K -24.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 12:30
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.03%E -6.22%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 10:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.45%E -7.44%K -35.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.41%E -0.708%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 11:40
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:14
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.84%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.31%E -5.63%K -24.38%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 12:30
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 12:30
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.28%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 12:35
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 12:35
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.04%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 21:10
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:30
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:20
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -7.00%E -2.16%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 23:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.04%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:14
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:14
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:14
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:25
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:25
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 16:55
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.03%E -6.22%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.15%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -8.03%E -6.22%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -8.72%E -2.74%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 23:28
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.58%E -3.04%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.32%E -1.70%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.02%E -3.55%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:30
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.04%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.02%E -3.55%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 23:30
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.02%E -3.55%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 23:28
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.89%E -4.46%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.02%E -3.55%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.45%E -4.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 14:20
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.75%E -2.78%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.45%E -4.08%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.18%E -3.89%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.89%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 23:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-05 23:05
Matchbook◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-05 23:25
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%1.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%3.2%2026-08-05 23:30
Novig◎1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%3.2%2026-08-05 23:30