Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nikola Bartunkova v Amanda Anisimova

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 22:55 UTC

Final: Nikola Bartunkova 1–2 Amanda Anisimova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Prediction 35.15%2.85fair odd
EV +6.15%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +3.04%
Growth +0.187%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.36%35.75%35.20%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.602.623.0253.48%38.49%38.17%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amanda Anisimova (Visit)

Prediction 64.85%1.54fair odd
EV +21.27%
Edge +11.38%
Kelly +24.45%
Growth +5.20%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%64.25%64.80%68.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.491.8772.46%67.24%67.11%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 35.15%; Amanda Anisimova (Visit): 64.85%. For Amanda Anisimova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.54. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -34.27%E -18.33%K -39.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +21.27%E +11.38%K +24.45%G +5.20%7.0%2026-08-06 22:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -13.89%E -5.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV +1.17%E +0.750%K +2.09%G +0.024%4.9%2026-08-06 22:50
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%5.7%2026-08-06 22:51
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%5.7%2026-08-06 22:51
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%5.7%2026-08-06 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%5.7%2026-08-06 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%5.7%2026-08-06 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%5.7%2026-08-06 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%5.7%2026-08-06 22:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%5.7%2026-08-06 22:50
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -15.65%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -0.127%E -0.083%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 22:50
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -15.65%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -0.127%E -0.083%K -0.236%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 22:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 12:59
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-06 22:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.86%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 16:05
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.21%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 22:46
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:40
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 14:20
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 14:20
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -18.11%E -7.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-06 22:50
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.37%E -2.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -7.21%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.37%E -2.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 18:56
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.02%E -2.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 13:00
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.02%E -2.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 22:53
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV +2.28%E +0.783%K +1.19%G +0.027%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 22:41
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -19.86%E -8.71%K -15.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-06 22:51
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.32%E -3.64%K -11.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 18:55
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV +1.93%E +0.665%K +1.01%G +0.020%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-06 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +0.522%E +0.183%K +0.281%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 22:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +0.522%E +0.183%K +0.281%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 22:53
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 22:49
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.34%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 22:46
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.37%E -4.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.99%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 22:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.34%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:41
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 22:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 22:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 22:51
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 22:45
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 22:47
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.26%E -5.08%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 22:50
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.37%E -4.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.26%E -5.08%K -16.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 22:51
Betsson🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -1.94%E -0.695%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 22:45
NordicBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -1.94%E -0.695%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 22:48
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 22:44
DraftKings🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV +6.15%E +2.04%K +3.04%G +0.187%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -10.50%E -7.61%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 22:54
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +5.44%E +1.81%K +2.72%G +0.148%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.50%E -7.61%K -27.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-06 22:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-06 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-06 22:51
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-08-06 22:51
ProphetX2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-08-06 22:51
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-08-06 22:41
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%9.4%2026-08-06 22:51