Idioma:Español
Nikola Bartunkova v Amanda Anisimova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nikola Bartunkova (Local)
Predicción 35.15%2.85momio equitativo
EV +6.15%
Ventaja +2.04%
Kelly +3.04%
Crecimiento +0.187%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.36%35.75%35.20%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.602.623.0253.48%38.49%38.17%33.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Amanda Anisimova (Visitante)
Predicción 64.85%1.54momio equitativo
EV +21.27%
Ventaja +11.38%
Kelly +24.45%
Crecimiento +5.20%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%64.25%64.80%68.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.491.8772.46%67.24%67.11%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 35.15%; Amanda Anisimova (Visitante): 64.85%. Para Amanda Anisimova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.54. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.87, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +21.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -34.27%E -18.33%K -39.40%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +21.27%E +11.38%K +24.45%G +5.20% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -13.89%E -5.67%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV +1.17%E +0.750%K +2.09%G +0.024% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -15.65%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -0.127%E -0.083%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -15.65%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -0.127%E -0.083%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.86%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.21%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -18.11%E -7.77%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.37%E -2.26%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -7.21%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.37%E -2.26%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 18:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.02%E -2.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 13:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.02%E -2.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV +2.28%E +0.783%K +1.19%G +0.027% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 22:41 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -19.86%E -8.71%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.32%E -3.64%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV +1.93%E +0.665%K +1.01%G +0.020% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +0.522%E +0.183%K +0.281%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +0.522%E +0.183%K +0.281%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 22:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.34%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.37%E -4.07%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.99%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.34%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 22:47 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.26%E -5.08%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.37%E -4.07%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.26%E -5.08%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -1.94%E -0.695%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -1.94%E -0.695%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 22:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.58%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-06 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV +6.15%E +2.04%K +3.04%G +0.187% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -10.50%E -7.61%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +5.44%E +1.81%K +2.72%G +0.148% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.50%E -7.61%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 22:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-08-06 22:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84% | 9.4% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |