Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nikola Bartunkova v Amanda Anisimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-06 22:55 UTC

Score final : Nikola Bartunkova 1–2 Amanda Anisimova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

35%

65%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Prévision 35.15%2.85cote équitable

EV +6.15%

Avantage +2.04%

Kelly +3.04%

Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

31.36%35.75%35.20%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

1.872.602.623.0253.48%38.49%38.17%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.85%1.54cote équitable

EV +21.27%

Avantage +11.38%

Kelly +24.45%

Croissance +5.20%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

50.00%64.25%64.80%68.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

1.381.491.491.8772.46%67.24%67.11%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nikola Bartunkova (Local) : 35.15% ; Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur) : 64.85%. Pour Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.54. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.87, soit une espérance positive de +21.27%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur ▼	Marge	Mise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -34.27%E -18.33%K -39.40%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +21.27%E +11.38%K +24.45%G +5.20%	7.0%	2026-08-06 22:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -13.89%E -5.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV +1.17%E +0.750%K +2.09%G +0.024%	4.9%	2026-08-06 22:50
Unibet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:51
Casumo🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:51
BetRivers🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:50
betPARX🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -14.59%E -6.00%K -10.20%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV +0.521%E +0.336%K +0.948%G +0.005%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:50
Grosvenor🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -15.65%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -0.127%E -0.083%K -0.236%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-06 22:50
TABtouch🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -15.65%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -0.127%E -0.083%K -0.236%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-06 22:50
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-06 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-06 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-06 22:50
Bally Bet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -16.35%E -6.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -0.776%E -0.507%K -1.46%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-06 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-06 12:59
BoyleSports🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-06 22:46
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.86%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-06 16:05
1xBet🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.21%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-06 22:46
Sky Bet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-06 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-06 00:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 18:55
theScore Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-05 14:20
Neds🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-05 14:20
TAB🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.13%E -4.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-06 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -18.11%E -7.77%K -13.61%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-08-06 22:50
Coolbet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.881%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.37%E -2.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-06 22:40
FanDuel🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -7.21%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.37%E -2.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-06 18:56
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.02%E -2.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-06 13:00
BetAnything🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.02%E -2.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-06 22:53
Pinnacle🎯	2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV +2.28%E +0.783%K +1.19%G +0.027%	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-06 22:41
PMU (FR)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -19.86%E -8.71%K -15.52%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-08-06 22:51
SportsBet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.32%E -3.64%K -11.56%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-06 18:55
Betway🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV +1.93%E +0.665%K +1.01%G +0.020%	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-06 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +0.522%E +0.183%K +0.281%G +0.001%	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-06 22:51
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +0.522%E +0.183%K +0.281%G +0.001%	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-06 22:53
Bovada🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.881%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-06 22:49
Fanatics🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.34%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 22:46
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.37%E -4.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-05 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -2.99%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-06 22:50
betfred_uk🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.34%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-06 22:41
Coral🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 22:50
888sport🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-06 22:50
William Hill🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-06 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-06 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.91%E -3.02%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-06 22:51
betano_uk🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-06 22:45
Bet Victor🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-06 22:47
BetMGM🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.26%E -5.08%K -16.89%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-06 22:50
Fliff🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.37%E -4.07%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.26%E -5.08%K -16.89%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-06 22:51
Betsson🎯	2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -1.94%E -0.695%K -1.08%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-06 22:45
NordicBet🎯	2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -1.94%E -0.695%K -1.08%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-06 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-06 22:48
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.58%K -23.02%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-08-06 22:44
DraftKings🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV +6.15%E +2.04%K +3.04%G +0.187%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -10.50%E -7.61%K -27.64%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 22:54
LeoVegas🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +5.44%E +1.81%K +2.72%G +0.148%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -10.50%E -7.61%K -27.64%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-06 22:54

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%	0.5%	2026-08-06 22:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%	0.5%	2026-08-06 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%	0.5%	2026-08-06 22:51
Matchbook◎	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%	1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%	0.5%	2026-08-06 22:51
ProphetX◎	2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%	1.4%	2026-08-06 22:51
Novig◎	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%	2.0%	2026-08-06 22:41
Smarkets◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%	9.4%	2026-08-06 22:51