Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Zeynep Sonmez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 60.72%1.65fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.22%60.64%60.69%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6368.03%63.56%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zeynep Sonmez (Visit)
Prediction 39.28%2.55fair odd
EV +0.164%
Edge +0.064%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%39.36%39.31%41.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.382.372.5544.84%42.10%42.19%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 60.72%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visit): 39.28%. For Zeynep Sonmez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.546. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.550, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.164%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.164%E +0.064%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 20:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.74%E -7.31%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 03:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.98%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 20:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.24%E -1.39%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 20:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 20:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 20:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.12%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.91%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.91%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.63%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.63%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 20:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 20:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 20:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 20:25 |