Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Sakkari v Zeynep Sonmez

Início: 2026-08-05 20:28 UTC

Final: Maria Sakkari 2–0 Zeynep Sonmez

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Previsão 60.72%1.65odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.630%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.22%60.64%60.69%62.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.571.571.6368.03%63.56%63.69%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante)

Previsão 39.28%2.55odd justa
EV +0.164%
Vantagem +0.064%
Kelly +0.106%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.03%39.36%39.31%41.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.382.372.5544.84%42.10%42.19%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Maria Sakkari (Local): 60.72%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante): 39.28%. Para Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.546. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.550, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.164%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.164%E +0.064%K +0.106%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 20:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-05 20:15
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 15:40
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 20:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.74%E -7.31%K -22.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -1.80%E -0.720%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 03:29
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.98%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 20:24
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.24%E -1.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 20:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 20:14
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.31%E -5.51%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -3.76%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 20:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 20:24
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:15
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.49%E -4.22%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 13:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.73%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 20:19
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.28%E -3.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.12%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 20:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.06%E -2.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:24
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.91%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.91%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 20:25
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.88%E -3.80%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 20:25
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.63%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.63%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 20:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.97%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 20:19
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 20:14
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.66%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 20:15
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:15
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.03%E -0.630%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 20:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -12.41%E -5.56%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 20:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-05 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-05 20:25
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-05 20:25
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-05 20:25
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-08-05 20:25