Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Sakkari v Zeynep Sonmez

2026-08-05 19:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

62%

38%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Predicción 62.43%1.60momio equitativo

EV -1.36%

Ventaja -0.861%

Kelly -2.34%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

60.26%62.45%62.44%63.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.12%66.67%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante)

Predicción 37.57%2.66momio equitativo

EV -0.441%

Ventaja -0.166%

Kelly -0.267%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

36.05%37.55%37.56%39.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.352.532.552.6542.55%39.53%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Maria Sakkari (Local): 62.43%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante): 37.57%. Para Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.65, con un valor esperado de -0.441%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
DraftKings	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -1.36%E -0.861%K -2.34%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -9.46%E -3.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-04 23:05
GTbets	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.61%E -1.67%K -4.66%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-04 07:10
LowVig.ag	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.61%E -1.67%K -4.66%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.45%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-04 22:55
BetOnline.ag	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.61%E -1.67%K -4.66%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.45%E -1.34%K -2.20%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-04 22:55
Pinnacle	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.95%EV -2.61%E -1.67%K -4.66%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.05%EV -4.57%E -1.80%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-04 10:55
Coolbet	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.23%E -2.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-04 14:04
Neds	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.23%E -2.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.68%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-04 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.23%E -2.09%K -5.88%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.68%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-04 10:05
1xBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.86%E -2.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-04 14:05
Bovada	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.86%E -2.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-04 15:00
BetAnything	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.86%E -2.50%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-04 16:15
PointsBet (AU)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 10:54
betfred_uk	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 10:50
Fanatics	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 21:20
BoyleSports	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 12:49
888sport	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 10:49
Dabble (AU)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 22:55
Mr Green (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 10:49
888sport (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 10:49
William Hill	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-04 20:04
BetMGM	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.95%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-04 10:05
Coral	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.83%E -4.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 10:04
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.48%E -2.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.83%E -4.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-04 10:04
Winamax (DE)	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -0.441%E -0.166%K -0.267%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-04 20:50
Winamax (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-04 20:49
Marathon Bet	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -5.32%E -2.11%K -3.50%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-04 14:00
Betr (AU)	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 21:30
PlayUp	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.11%E -3.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-04 22:49
Sky Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.19%E -0.453%K -0.731%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-04 19:04
Paddy Power	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 19:04
Unibet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:40
Casumo	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
TABtouch	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
Unibet (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
Grosvenor	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
LiveScore Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
Virgin Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
BetRivers	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:40
Unibet (NL)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:40
ATG (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:45
Bally Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
Svenska Spel	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
betPARX	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:44
Hard Rock Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.32%E -0.892%K -1.45%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-04 10:40
Betclic (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-04 18:44
Betway	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 10:44
Caesars	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 13:49
TAB	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-04 22:55
NetBet (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -7.20%E -2.92%K -4.90%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-04 12:04
LeoVegas	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-04 22:30
Bet Victor	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.83%E -4.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-04 15:18
betano_uk	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.35%E -4.24%K -12.71%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.83%E -4.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-04 15:19
FanDuel	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.98%E -4.68%K -14.24%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -0.817%E -0.309%K -0.498%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-04 19:04
NordicBet	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.98%E -4.68%K -14.24%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-04 19:10
Betsson	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.98%E -4.68%K -14.24%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-04 19:10
Unibet (UK)	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.60%E -5.14%K -15.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 10:49
theScore Bet	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.60%E -5.14%K -15.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-04 08:50
ReBet	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -7.60%E -5.14%K -15.84%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.83%E -2.75%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-04 15:05
PMU (FR)	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.23%E -5.60%K -17.50%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-04 10:44
SportsBet	1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -8.85%E -6.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.70%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-04 19:05
Tipico (DE)	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.48%E -6.53%K -21.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-04 07:14
Unibet (FR)	1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -10.10%E -7.01%K -22.95%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.68%G +0.000%	12.0%	2026-08-04 10:45

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%	1.1%	2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%	1.1%	2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%	1.1%	2026-08-04 23:40
Matchbook	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%	1.1%	2026-08-04 23:45
Smarkets	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%	2.2%	2026-08-04 23:35
Novig	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%	4.0%	2026-08-04 23:50