Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Magdalena Frech v Leolia Jeanjean

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 22:16 UTC

Final: Magdalena Frech 2–0 Leolia Jeanjean

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prediction 62.28%1.61fair odd
EV -0.981%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%62.15%62.19%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.541.5968.97%65.33%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visit)

Prediction 37.72%2.65fair odd
EV -0.409%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.249%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.85%37.81%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.482.6443.48%40.37%40.40%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 62.28%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 37.72%. For Leolia Jeanjean (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -0.409%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.981%E -0.617%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.24%E -5.75%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 15:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:10
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -9.84%E -4.12%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 21:30
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.44%E -2.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:00
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.44%E -2.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 21:30
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.35%E -4.83%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 21:34
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -0.409%E -0.155%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.54%E -0.590%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.54%E -0.590%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 21:50
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:10
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:15
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.94%E -1.96%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:24
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:09
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.07%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -7.95%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:35
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 21:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:29
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.82%E -2.76%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 17:08
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 17:09
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.22%E -4.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 16:14
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.21%E -4.84%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 22:14
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.70%E -6.69%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 22:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%EV -9.70%E -6.69%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%EV -8.71%E -3.60%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-02 22:15
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-02 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-02 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-08-02 22:15
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-08-02 21:30
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-08-02 22:15

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