Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech v Leolia Jeanjean

2026-08-02 18:50 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Predicción 60.27%1.66momio equitativo
EV -0.562%
Ventaja -0.341%
Kelly -0.865%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.26%60.35%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.77%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante)

Predicción 39.73%2.52momio equitativo
EV -0.663%
Ventaja -0.265%
Kelly -0.442%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.74%39.65%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.5045.45%41.90%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Magdalena Frech (Local): 60.27%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante): 39.73%. Para Magdalena Frech (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.65, con un valor esperado de -0.562%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -0.562%E -0.341%K -0.865%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.37%E -1.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:29
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.97%E -1.85%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 11:30
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.23%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:04
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:45
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 06:29
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:55
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 14:20
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 12:30
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 14:19
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -6.23%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.18%E -2.63%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:24
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.78%E -3.03%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.82%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.78%E -3.03%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:20
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.78%E -3.03%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:00
ReBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.78%E -3.03%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.78%E -3.03%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:29
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.663%E -0.265%K -0.442%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.46%E -0.588%K -0.985%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:54
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 15:19
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.24%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:09
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:19
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 11:29
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:10
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:09
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:55
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -8.21%E -3.56%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:44
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 12:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.38%E -3.43%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.44%E -1.42%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:10
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.19%E -4.67%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 13:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.663%E -0.265%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.663%E -0.265%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.663%E -0.265%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:20
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:19
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.79%E -5.09%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 15:18
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.40%E -5.52%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:49
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.60%E -6.40%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.60%E -6.40%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-02 15:10
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-02 15:10
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-02 15:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%8.4%2026-08-02 15:15