Idioma:Español
Magdalena Frech v Leolia Jeanjean
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Predicción 62.28%1.61momio equitativo
EV -0.981%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.13%62.15%62.19%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.541.5968.97%65.33%64.94%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante)
Predicción 37.72%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.409%
Ventaja -0.155%
Kelly -0.249%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.85%37.81%40.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.482.6443.48%40.37%40.40%37.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Magdalena Frech (Local): 62.28%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante): 37.72%. Para Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.64, con un valor esperado de -0.409%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.981%E -0.617%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.24%E -5.75%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 15:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -9.84%E -4.12%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.44%E -2.60%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.44%E -2.60%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 20:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.35%E -4.83%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 21:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -0.409%E -0.155%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.54%E -0.590%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.54%E -0.590%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.94%E -1.96%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 16:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.07%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -7.95%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 21:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 21:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 21:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.82%E -2.76%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 17:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.22%E -4.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 16:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.21%E -4.84%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 20:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.70%E -6.69%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 22:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%EV -9.70%E -6.69%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%EV -8.71%E -3.60%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 21:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 22:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 22:15 |