Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Magdalena Frech v Leolia Jeanjean

Początek: 2026-08-02 22:16 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Magdalena Frech 2–0 Leolia Jeanjean

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Magdalena Frech (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 62.28%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -0.981%
Przewaga -0.617%
Kelly -1.66%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.13%62.15%62.19%63.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.531.541.5968.97%65.33%64.94%62.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Leolia Jeanjean (Goście)

Prognoza 37.72%2.65kurs godziwy
EV -0.409%
Przewaga -0.155%
Kelly -0.249%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.59%37.85%37.81%40.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.482.482.6443.48%40.37%40.40%37.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Magdalena Frech (Gospodarze): 62.28%; Leolia Jeanjean (Goście): 37.72%. Dla wyniku Leolia Jeanjean (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.65. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.64, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.409%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.981%E -0.617%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.24%E -5.75%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 15:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:29
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.33%E -3.43%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:10
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -2.85%E -1.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -9.84%E -4.12%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 21:30
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.44%E -2.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:00
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.44%E -2.60%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 21:30
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.47%E -2.24%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.35%E -4.83%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 21:34
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -0.409%E -0.155%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.54%E -0.590%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.54%E -0.590%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 21:50
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:10
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:15
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.94%E -1.96%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:24
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.31%E -2.12%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:09
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.07%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -4.72%E -3.08%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -7.95%E -3.26%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:35
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.34%E -3.51%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.80%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 21:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.92%E -0.738%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:29
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.82%E -2.76%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 17:08
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 17:09
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.59%E -4.39%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.22%E -4.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 16:14
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.21%E -4.84%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.46%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 22:14
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.70%E -6.69%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 22:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.53%EV -9.70%E -6.69%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.47%EV -8.71%E -3.60%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 21:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-02 22:15
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-02 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-02 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-08-02 22:15
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-08-02 21:30
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-08-02 22:15