Language:English
Liudmila Samsonova v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.534%
Kelly +0.725%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.80%26.94%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.62%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 73.15%1.37fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%73.20%73.06%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3480.00%77.14%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 26.85%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 73.15%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.03%E +0.534%K +0.725%G +0.015% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 10:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.71%E -2.04%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 15:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 11:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -4.15%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -1.98%E -1.48%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.22%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 04:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 05:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 05:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -7.10%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -7.10%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.83%E -6.22%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 05:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 16:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 16:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.08% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |