默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liudmila Samsonova v Elena Rybakina

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 16:38 UTC

最终结果: Liudmila Samsonova 1–2 Elena Rybakina

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liudmila Samsonova (主队)

预测 26.85%3.72公平赔率
EV +2.03%
优势 +0.534%
Kelly +0.725%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
25.00%26.80%26.94%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.62%28.57%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Elena Rybakina (客队)

预测 73.15%1.37公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -1.48%
Kelly -5.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.34

博彩公司预测分布
71.43%73.20%73.06%75.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.301.301.3480.00%77.14%76.92%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Liudmila Samsonova (主队):26.85%;Elena Rybakina (客队):73.15%。 对于“Liudmila Samsonova (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.72。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.80,对应+2.03%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.03%E +0.534%K +0.725%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:34
Pinnacle🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 16:25
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 10:16
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:35
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 09:30
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.71%E -2.04%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-09 16:10
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 15:18
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:24
GTbets🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -4.15%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -1.98%E -1.48%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 09:29
ReBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:25
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.22%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 07:10
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 12:24
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 12:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:35
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:35
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:35
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 04:58
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 05:10
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 05:05
Betsson🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -7.10%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:35
NordicBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -7.10%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 16:35
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:10
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:10
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:10
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:09
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:09
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:09
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:10
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:09
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:35
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 16:34
Fliff🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.83%E -6.22%K -30.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:35
Dabble (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:35
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:25
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 16:35
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:35
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 05:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 05:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:34
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:31
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 16:23
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 16:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-08-09 16:35
ProphetX◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-08-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-09 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-08-09 16:35
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.08%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92%1.7%2026-08-09 16:35
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%3.0%2026-08-09 16:35