Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova v Elena Rybakina

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Predicción 27.35%3.66momio equitativo
EV +3.93%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.055%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%27.31%27.37%30.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.453.8032.26%28.99%28.99%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Predicción 72.65%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -7.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%72.69%72.63%74.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.301.3480.00%77.32%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 27.35%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 72.65%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.66. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.93%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +3.93%E +1.04%K +1.41%G +0.055%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 08:35
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +2.57%E +0.684%K +0.933%G +0.024%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 08:33
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +2.57%E +0.684%K +0.933%G +0.024%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -7.74%E -6.09%K -28.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.20%E +0.324%K +0.444%G +0.005%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.19%E -7.35%K -36.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.168%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 08:35
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.54%E -0.427%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 08:35
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.54%E -0.427%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.54%E -0.427%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.54%E -0.427%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 08:35
GTbets🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -2.63%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -2.65%E -1.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 08:35
Fanatics🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.90%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.83%E -3.69%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 07:30
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 06:25
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 06:25
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 06:10
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 06:09
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.27%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 08:35
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.10%E -3.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 07:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 06:30
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 08:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:21
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.64%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 07:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.83%E -3.69%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 08:34
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 06:10
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.74%E -6.09%K -28.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 06:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.74%E -6.09%K -28.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 06:15
Betsson🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 08:35
NordicBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -7.55%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.37%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 07:20
Dabble (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.10%E -3.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 07:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 08:35
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 07:30
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 08:35
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 08:35
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 08:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 06:10
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.11%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.28%E -4.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:35
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.38%E -2.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 01:05
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.48%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.56%E -4.27%K -18.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 06:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 06:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 06:10
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.01%E -5.48%K -25.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 06:10
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.21%E -4.91%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.38%E -2.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 04:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-08-08 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-08-08 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-08-08 07:30
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%6.6%2026-08-08 08:35
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%1.26I 79.37%NM 70.42%12.7%2026-08-08 08:35