Idioma:Español
Liudmila Samsonova v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV +2.03%
Ventaja +0.534%
Kelly +0.725%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.80%26.94%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.493.503.8030.77%28.62%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 73.15%1.37momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -5.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.43%73.20%73.06%75.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3480.00%77.14%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 26.85%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 73.15%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.72. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.03%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +2.03%E +0.534%K +0.725%G +0.015% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 10:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.687%E +0.183%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.00%E -0.547%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.71%E -2.04%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 15:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.34%E -0.928%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 11:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -4.15%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -1.98%E -1.48%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -5.22%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.17%E -3.19%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 04:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 05:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 05:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -7.10%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -7.10%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.83%E -6.22%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.44%E -2.61%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 05:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 07:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.40%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 16:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 16:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.74%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.64%E -4.37%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 16:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 3.77I 26.53%NM 26.08% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11% | 3.0% | 2026-08-09 16:35 |