Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kayla Day v Coco Gauff

2026-08-05 18:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kayla Day (Local)

Prediction 13.70%7.30fair odd
EV +9.57%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.09%13.71%13.66%16.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.807.008.0018.87%14.70%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visit)

Prediction 86.30%1.16fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -11.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.20%86.29%86.34%87.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1494.34%91.13%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kayla Day (Local): 13.70%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 86.30%. For Kayla Day (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.30. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +9.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.57%E +1.20%K +1.37%G +0.131%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 12:49
Coolbet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +6.14%E +0.793%K +0.910%G +0.056%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 14:50
FanDuel7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +5.46%E +0.709%K +0.815%G +0.044%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.79%E -6.29%K -84.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 16:00
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.72%E +0.362%K +0.418%G +0.011%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.79%E -6.29%K -84.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:00
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.72%E +0.362%K +0.418%G +0.011%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.79%E -6.29%K -84.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:00
GTbets7.32I 13.66%NM 13.48%EV +0.253%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.52%EV -1.61%E -1.42%K -11.52%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-03 21:35
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -1.39%E -0.193%K -0.224%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.52%E -8.04%K -141.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 00:09
1xBet7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV -1.53%E -0.212%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 18:20
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 19:30
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:05
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:45
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:59
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:00
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:25
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:45
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.93%E -5.44%K -65.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:40
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.79%E -6.29%K -84.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.13%E -0.590%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.79%E -6.29%K -84.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:49
Marathon Bet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -4.81%E -0.693%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.50%E -0.797%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:00
Fliff6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -5.50%E -0.797%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.36%EV -5.93%E -5.44%K -65.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
DraftKings6.84I 14.62%NM 13.96%EV -6.32%E -0.924%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.04%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:14
Betsson6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -6.46%E -0.945%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -5.93%E -5.44%K -65.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:00
NordicBet6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -6.46%E -0.945%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -5.93%E -5.44%K -65.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:00
Betclic (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -6.87%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:44
BetUS6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.55%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:29
theScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.55%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.93%E -5.44%K -65.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 14:35
BetAnything6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.24%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.98%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
BetMGM6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.98%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.98%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.98%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.93%E -5.44%K -65.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 15:00
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.98%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.79%E -6.29%K -84.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 19:05
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.98%E -1.69%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.79%E -6.29%K -84.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 18:09
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -12.35%E -1.93%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.79%E -6.29%K -84.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:30
ReBet6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -15.09%E -2.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.93%E -5.44%K -65.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 16:00
Dabble (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.83%E -2.97%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.34%E -2.98%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:40
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.83%E -2.97%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.34%E -2.98%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:40
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.83%E -2.97%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.83%E -2.97%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:54
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.83%E -2.97%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.20%E -3.79%K -38.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:55
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.83%E -2.97%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:28
betano_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -17.83%E -2.97%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.07%E -4.60%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:30
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.81%EV -21.93%E -3.85%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.19%EV -7.65%E -7.15%K -109.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 16:00
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -27.41%E -5.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.65%E -7.15%K -109.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-04 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.16%4.8%2026-08-04 21:00
Novig6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%7.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%8.2%2026-08-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%9.1%2026-08-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%9.1%2026-08-04 13:55
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%9.6%2026-08-04 22:55