Language:English
Kayla Day v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kayla Day (Local)
Prediction 11.66%8.58fair odd
EV +28.27%
Edge +2.57%
Kelly +2.83%
Growth +0.799%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%11.48%11.74%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.558.5011.0015.38%11.69%11.76%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 88.34%1.13fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -17.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%88.52%88.26%91.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.061.061.1198.04%93.98%94.34%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kayla Day (Local): 11.66%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 88.34%. For Kayla Day (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.58. 30 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +28.27%E +2.57%K +2.83%G +0.799% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.60%E +1.66%K +1.84%G +0.306% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.60%E +1.66%K +1.84%G +0.306% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.13%E -7.81%K -203.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.87I 10.13%NM 9.78%EV +15.09%E +1.53%K +1.70%G +0.257% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.22%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 12:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.13%E -7.81%K -203.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.13%E -7.81%K -203.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -9.01%E -8.75%K -300.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 11:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -9.01%E -8.75%K -300.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -9.89%E -9.70%K -494.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +4.71%E +0.525%K +0.590%G +0.028% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +2.03%E +0.232%K +0.262%G +0.005% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 10.75%EV -0.303%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -9.01%E -8.75%K -300.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.886%E -0.104%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.886%E -0.104%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.27I 12.09%NM 11.65%EV -3.57%E -0.431%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.35%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV -4.85%E -0.594%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV -4.85%E -0.594%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 19:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 11:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -9.05%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -10.21%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.33%EV -11.26%E -1.48%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.67%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.33%EV -11.26%E -1.48%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.67%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.83%E -2.57%K -28.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.83%E -2.57%K -28.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.83%E -2.57%K -28.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 10:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 19:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 19:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -15.46%E -2.13%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 19:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -17.21%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -18.38%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -1.94%E -1.75%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.38%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -24.21%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.83%E -2.57%K -28.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.78% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.22% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |