Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kayla Day v Coco Gauff

Início: 2026-08-05 19:32 UTC

Final: Kayla Day 0–2 Coco Gauff

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kayla Day (Local)

Previsão 11.66%8.58odd justa
EV +28.27%
Vantagem +2.57%
Kelly +2.83%
Crescimento +0.799%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.71%11.48%11.74%14.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.508.558.5011.0015.38%11.69%11.76%9.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Previsão 88.34%1.13odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -1.75%
Kelly -17.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.53%88.52%88.26%91.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.021.061.061.1198.04%93.98%94.34%90.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kayla Day (Local): 11.66%; Coco Gauff (Visitante): 88.34%. Para Kayla Day (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.58. 30 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +28.27%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +28.27%E +2.57%K +2.83%G +0.799%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +16.60%E +1.66%K +1.84%G +0.306%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +16.60%E +1.66%K +1.84%G +0.306%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -8.13%E -7.81%K -203.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 19:30
Pinnacle🎯9.87I 10.13%NM 9.78%EV +15.09%E +1.53%K +1.70%G +0.257%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.22%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 17:00
DraftKings🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 12:19
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Casumo🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:30
TABtouch🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.13%E -7.81%K -203.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 19:30
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -8.13%E -7.81%K -203.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 19:30
Bally Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +10.77%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -9.01%E -8.75%K -300.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 19:30
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 11:59
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 11:15
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 11:15
PlayUp🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -9.01%E -8.75%K -300.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV +4.94%E +0.549%K +0.618%G +0.031%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -9.89%E -9.70%K -494.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 19:30
1xBet🎯8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV +4.71%E +0.525%K +0.590%G +0.028%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 19:25
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +2.03%E +0.232%K +0.262%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 19:30
Fliff🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 10.75%EV -0.303%E -0.035%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -9.01%E -8.75%K -300.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 19:25
Fanatics🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -0.886%E -0.104%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 19:30
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.886%E -0.104%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 19:29
GTbets🎯8.27I 12.09%NM 11.65%EV -3.57%E -0.431%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.35%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV -4.85%E -0.594%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯8.16I 12.25%NM 11.78%EV -4.85%E -0.594%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.22%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 11:20
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 19:25
BetUS🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 10:50
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:30
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:28
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:30
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 11:15
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.36%E -6.00%K -106.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.72%E -0.840%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:21
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -9.05%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:44
FanDuel🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -10.21%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 19:29
Betsson🎯7.61I 13.14%NM 12.33%EV -11.26%E -1.48%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.67%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 19:30
NordicBet🎯7.61I 13.14%NM 12.33%EV -11.26%E -1.48%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.67%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 19:30
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.83%E -2.57%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 19:30
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.83%E -2.57%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 19:30
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.83%E -2.57%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 10:15
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:29
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.48%E -5.12%K -78.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 19:29
Tipico (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -12.55%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -15.46%E -2.13%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -7.24%E -6.90%K -144.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 19:28
Marathon Bet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -17.21%E -2.42%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -3.71%E -3.40%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -18.38%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -1.94%E -1.75%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 19:30
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.38%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.59%E -4.25%K -57.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:49
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -24.21%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.83%E -2.57%K -28.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 19:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-05 19:25
Matchbook◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-05 19:30
Novig◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-08-05 19:30
ProphetX◎9.10I 10.99%NM 10.78%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.22%1.9%2026-08-05 19:30
Smarkets◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%3.5%2026-08-05 19:10