Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kayla Day v Coco Gauff

2026-08-05 18:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kayla Day (Local)

Predicción 13.65%7.33momio equitativo
EV +9.21%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.121%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.09%13.67%13.58%15.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.706.837.008.0017.54%14.65%14.29%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 86.35%1.16momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -11.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.19%86.33%86.42%87.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1494.34%91.10%90.91%87.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kayla Day (Local): 13.65%; Coco Gauff (Visitante): 86.35%. Para Kayla Day (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.33. 5 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 8.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +9.21%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.21%E +1.15%K +1.32%G +0.121%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 12:49
Coolbet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +5.80%E +0.748%K +0.859%G +0.050%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 14:50
FanDuel7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV +5.12%E +0.664%K +0.764%G +0.039%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 16:00
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.39%E +0.318%K +0.367%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:00
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.39%E +0.318%K +0.367%G +0.009%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:00
GTbets7.32I 13.66%NM 13.48%EV -0.072%E -0.010%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.52%EV -1.56%E -1.37%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-03 21:35
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -1.71%E -0.238%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.47%E -7.99%K -141.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 00:09
1xBet7.19I 13.91%NM 13.37%EV -1.85%E -0.257%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.63%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 18:20
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 19:30
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:05
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:45
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:59
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Casumo7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:10
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:09
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 15:00
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 18:25
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 14:45
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.88%E -5.39%K -65.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:40
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.88%E -5.39%K -65.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 23:44
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:29
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.44%E -0.634%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:49
Marathon Bet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -5.12%E -0.737%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.81%E -0.841%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:00
Fliff6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -5.81%E -0.841%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.36%EV -5.88%E -5.39%K -65.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
DraftKings6.84I 14.62%NM 13.96%EV -6.62%E -0.969%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.04%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:14
Betsson6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -6.76%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -5.88%E -5.39%K -65.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:00
NordicBet6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -6.76%E -0.990%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -5.88%E -5.39%K -65.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:00
Betclic (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -7.17%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 18:44
BetUS6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -7.85%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:29
theScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.85%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.88%E -5.39%K -65.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 14:35
BetAnything6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.54%E -1.27%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
BetMGM6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 19:05
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.27%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 18:09
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -12.63%E -1.97%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.74%E -6.24%K -84.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 22:30
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -15.36%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.88%E -5.39%K -65.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 23:45
ReBet6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -15.36%E -2.48%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.88%E -5.39%K -65.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 16:00
Dabble (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.09%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.29%E -2.94%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:40
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.09%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.29%E -2.94%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:40
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.09%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.09%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:54
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.09%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.15%E -3.74%K -37.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:55
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.09%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:28
betano_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.09%E -3.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.02%E -4.56%K -50.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:30
Winamax (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 15.81%EV -22.19%E -3.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.19%EV -7.61%E -7.11%K -108.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-04 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%3.1%2026-08-04 23:15
Novig6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.36%6.2%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%6.5%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%6.5%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%6.5%2026-08-04 23:40
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%6.8%2026-08-04 23:40