Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Ariana Arseneault

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Prediction 84.91%1.18fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -3.59%
Kelly -31.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.70%84.90%84.91%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.111.101.1390.91%90.39%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ariana Arseneault (Visit)

Prediction 15.09%6.63fair odd
EV +5.65%
Edge +0.808%
Kelly +0.942%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.10%15.09%16.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.697.007.0017.39%14.95%14.29%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 84.91%; Ariana Arseneault (Visit): 15.09%. For Ariana Arseneault (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.63. 13 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +5.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -4.06%E -3.59%K -31.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%2.8%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.65%E +0.808%K +0.942%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.90%E -4.38%K -40.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.89%E -0.291%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:37
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.75%E -5.18%K -52.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.89%E -0.291%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 20:14
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.75%E -5.18%K -52.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.89%E -0.291%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.75%E -5.18%K -52.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.89%E -0.291%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 23:34
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.75%E -5.18%K -52.31%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -2.65%E -0.411%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:24
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.90%E -4.38%K -40.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 01:49
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.75%E -5.18%K -52.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:15
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.60%E -6.00%K -66.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.44%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 20:29
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.90%E -4.38%K -40.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -13.21%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 01:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%2.7%2026-08-02 01:40