Language:English
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Ariana Arseneault
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)
Prediction 85.50%1.17fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -11.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.96%85.51%85.51%87.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.111.111.1594.34%90.16%90.09%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ariana Arseneault (Visit)
Prediction 14.50%6.90fair odd
EV +5.82%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +0.924%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 7.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.99%14.49%14.49%17.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.536.577.3018.18%15.32%15.21%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 85.50%; Ariana Arseneault (Visit): 14.50%. For Ariana Arseneault (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.90. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -6.80%E -6.24%K -75.57%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV +5.82%E +0.798%K +0.924%G +0.054% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.16%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.84%EV +1.04%E +0.149%K +0.174%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -1.42%E -0.210%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.26%EV -1.67%E -1.45%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.74%EV -3.60%E -0.541%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -3.60%E -0.541%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.18%E -0.632%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.18%E -0.632%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.32%E -0.655%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.29%EV -3.38%E -2.99%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.71%EV -5.05%E -0.771%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -5.19%E -0.794%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.50%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -9.37%E -8.84%K -156.10%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.57%E -1.90%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.65%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.65%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.38%E -2.99%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.27%E -3.69%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
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