Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Ariana Arseneault

Inizio: 2026-08-02 19:06 UTC

Finale: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 2–0 Ariana Arseneault

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Casa)

Previsione 85.50%1.17quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -11.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.96%85.51%85.51%87.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.111.111.1594.34%90.16%90.09%86.96%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ariana Arseneault (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.50%6.90quota equa
EV +5.82%
Vantaggio +0.798%
Kelly +0.924%
Crescita +0.054%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.99%14.49%14.49%17.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.536.577.3018.18%15.32%15.21%13.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Casa): 85.50%; Ariana Arseneault (Trasferta): 14.50%. Per Ariana Arseneault (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.90. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +5.82%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -6.80%E -6.24%K -75.57%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV +5.82%E +0.798%K +0.924%G +0.054%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%3.6%2026-08-02 13:45
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%5.2%2026-08-02 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%5.2%2026-08-02 12:59
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%5.2%2026-08-02 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%5.2%2026-08-02 13:44
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.16%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.84%EV +1.04%E +0.149%K +0.174%G +0.002%3.6%2026-08-02 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -1.42%E -0.210%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:48
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:04
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.26%EV -1.67%E -1.45%K -11.14%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.74%EV -3.60%E -0.541%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -3.60%E -0.541%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.18%E -0.632%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.18%E -0.632%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 17:30
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.32%E -0.655%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.29%EV -3.38%E -2.99%K -26.01%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.71%EV -5.05%E -0.771%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 19:05
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -5.19%E -0.794%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:29
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 19:05
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 17:34
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 18:59
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 19:04
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.50%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -9.37%E -8.84%K -156.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 19:04
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.57%E -1.90%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 19:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 19:05
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:24
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:05
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:44
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:50
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.65%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.65%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:29
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.38%E -2.99%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.27%E -3.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-08-02 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-08-02 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-08-02 19:05
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-02 19:00
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%2.6%2026-08-02 18:40
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56%3.3%2026-08-02 19:05