Idioma:Español
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Ariana Arseneault
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)
Predicción 85.50%1.17momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -11.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.96%85.51%85.51%87.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.111.111.1594.34%90.16%90.09%86.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ariana Arseneault (Visitante)
Predicción 14.50%6.90momio equitativo
EV +5.82%
Ventaja +0.798%
Kelly +0.924%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.99%14.49%14.49%17.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.536.577.3018.18%15.32%15.21%13.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 85.50%; Ariana Arseneault (Visitante): 14.50%. Para Ariana Arseneault (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.90. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -6.80%E -6.24%K -75.57%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV +5.82%E +0.798%K +0.924%G +0.054% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.47%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.16%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.84%EV +1.04%E +0.149%K +0.174%G +0.002% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -1.42%E -0.210%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 18:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.26%EV -1.67%E -1.45%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.74%EV -3.60%E -0.541%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -3.60%E -0.541%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.18%E -0.632%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -4.18%E -0.632%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -4.32%E -0.655%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.29%EV -3.38%E -2.99%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.71%EV -5.05%E -0.771%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -5.19%E -0.794%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 18:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.50%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -9.37%E -8.84%K -156.10%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -7.22%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.40%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.57%E -1.90%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.09%E -4.59%K -46.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.95%E -5.41%K -59.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.65%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.24%E -3.78%K -35.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.65%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.38%E -2.99%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -20.27%E -3.69%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56% | 3.3% | 2026-08-02 19:05 |