Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Janice Tjen (Local): 38.10%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 61.90%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.615. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.620, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.281%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV +0.281%E +0.174%K +0.454%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-03 06:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-02 09:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 05:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 19:32 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.37%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 13:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 06:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.99%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.37%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.53%E -4.32%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.90%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 19:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.42%E -3.05%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.38%E -5.67%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-03 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
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