Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Janice Tjen v Liudmila Samsonova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-03 19:37 UTC

Score final : Janice Tjen 0–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Prévision 38.10%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.945%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -0.591%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%38.14%38.11%40.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.27%40.00%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.90%1.62cote équitable
EV +0.281%
Avantage +0.174%
Kelly +0.454%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.50%61.86%61.89%63.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.531.531.6267.57%65.29%65.36%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Janice Tjen (Local) : 38.10% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 61.90%. Pour Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.615. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.620, soit une espérance positive de +0.281%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV +0.281%E +0.174%K +0.454%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-03 06:55
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 19:30
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:55
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 19:30
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 13:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 05:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 18:45
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:29
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 19:32
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.37%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 08:59
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 06:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:35
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.99%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.37%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 19:34
NordicBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:35
Betsson🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:35
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.53%E -4.32%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:04
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:35
GTbets🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.90%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.42%E -3.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 04:35
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:50
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.38%E -5.67%K -17.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-03 19:30
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-03 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-03 19:30
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%3.4%2026-08-03 19:35
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%6.3%2026-08-03 19:35