Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Janice Tjen v Liudmila Samsonova

Início: 2026-08-03 19:37 UTC

Final: Janice Tjen 0–2 Liudmila Samsonova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Previsão 38.10%2.62odd justa
EV -0.945%
Vantagem -0.364%
Kelly -0.591%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.59%38.14%38.11%40.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.27%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Previsão 61.90%1.62odd justa
EV +0.281%
Vantagem +0.174%
Kelly +0.454%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.50%61.86%61.89%63.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.531.531.6267.57%65.29%65.36%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Janice Tjen (Local): 38.10%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 61.90%. Para Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.615. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.620, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.281%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -9.33%E -3.92%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV +0.281%E +0.174%K +0.454%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-03 06:55
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 19:30
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 09:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.81%E -1.79%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 15:55
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 19:30
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.43%E -2.20%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 13:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 05:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 18:45
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.47%E -4.46%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.05%E -2.61%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:29
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.85%E -1.12%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 19:32
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.37%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 08:59
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.67%E -3.03%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 06:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:35
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.29%E -3.46%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -3.99%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.37%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 19:34
NordicBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:35
Betsson🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.19%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 19:35
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.91%E -3.89%K -11.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.76%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.53%E -4.32%K -12.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 19:04
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.945%E -0.364%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:35
GTbets🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -5.90%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -6.28%E -2.55%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.72%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.42%E -3.05%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 04:35
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.15%E -4.76%K -14.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:50
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.57%E -3.57%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.38%E -5.67%K -17.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 19:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-03 19:30
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-03 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-03 19:30
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%3.4%2026-08-03 19:35
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%6.3%2026-08-03 19:35