Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.10
assuming max odds 1.87
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 19.93%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 80.07%. For Alexandra Eala (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +49.74%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -62.74%E -33.55%K -72.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +49.74%E +26.60%K +57.17%G +28.44% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -16.31%E -3.88%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -0.708%E -0.571%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 00:28 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -14.32%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.31%E -3.60%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.30%E -5.07%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.52%EV -0.569%E -0.114%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.48%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-06 00:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.778%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.778%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 00:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.72%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.72%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.72%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.31%E -3.88%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.62%E +0.318%K +0.396%G +0.006% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.34%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -9.34%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -1.56%E -0.317%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.38%EV -2.16%E -0.440%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.62%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.14%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.86%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.14%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.86%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 00:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.72%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.35%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 00:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.92%E -6.88%K -52.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.92%E -6.88%K -52.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -8.72%E -7.65%K -62.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.52%E -8.42%K -73.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -10.32%E -9.21%K -85.98%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 0.3% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 0.3% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 1.8% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 2.6% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |