Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alycia Parks v Alexandra Eala

2026-08-06 00:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Predicción 17.33%5.77momio equitativo
EV +3.97%
Ventaja +0.662%
Kelly +0.795%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%17.60%17.30%20.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.455.345.506.0022.47%18.71%18.18%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Predicción 82.67%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -8.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.86%82.40%82.70%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.141.1990.09%87.31%87.72%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alycia Parks (Local): 17.33%; Alexandra Eala (Visitante): 82.67%. Para Alycia Parks (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.77. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.97%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +3.97%E +0.662%K +0.795%G +0.032%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -4.10%E -3.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 14:54
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.97%E +0.662%K +0.795%G +0.032%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 19:25
Fanatics5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.23%E -0.215%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:45
PointsBet (AU)5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -2.09%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:55
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:14
Unibet (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:14
ATG (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
Svenska Spel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.96%E -0.528%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 19:15
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.29%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.29%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 08:40
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 06:59
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:50
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 19:15
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 12:19
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 15:00
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:20
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:20
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:00
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -4.69%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.24%E -7.42%K -74.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 06:54
NordicBet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.30%EV -5.56%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.70%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:05
1xBet5.41I 18.48%NM 17.78%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.22%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 23:45
FanDuel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.42%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.93%E -4.29%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:40
Betclic (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.42%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.93%E -4.29%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:09
theScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.42%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 06:59
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.42%E -1.19%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 19:15
GTbets5.37I 18.62%NM 18.02%EV -6.94%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.98%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 20:15
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.69%EV -7.29%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.31%EV -4.93%E -4.29%K -32.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 23:39
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -9.02%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 22:55
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.02%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:10
SportsBet5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -9.89%E -1.90%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:39
BetAnything5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -11.62%E -2.28%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:00
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.27%E -2.80%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:40
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.10%E -3.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 15:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:40
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:40
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.36%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.75%E -5.05%K -41.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 13:43
DraftKings4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -16.99%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -1.62%E -1.36%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 23:00
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:05
PlayUp4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -2.45%E -2.07%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:45
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.69%E -3.72%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.93%E -4.29%K -32.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 22:04
ReBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -18.55%E -3.95%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -6.58%E -5.82%K -50.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-04 22:10
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -20.29%E -4.41%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.10%E -3.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:48
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -22.02%E -4.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-04 22:10
Unibet (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 20.11%EV -22.89%E -5.14%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 79.89%EV -7.41%E -6.61%K -61.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-04 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%3.8%2026-08-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%3.8%2026-08-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%3.8%2026-08-05 00:10
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%4.3%2026-08-05 00:10
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%6.6%2026-08-05 00:10
Novig5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%7.0%2026-08-05 00:10