Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alycia Parks v Alexandra Eala

Início: 2026-08-06 00:53 UTC

Final: Alycia Parks 1–2 Alexandra Eala

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Previsão 19.93%5.02odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +0.318%
Kelly +0.396%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.43%21.33%19.85%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.874.644.695.1053.48%21.55%21.32%19.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Previsão 80.07%1.25odd justa
EV +49.74%
Vantagem +26.60%
Kelly +57.17%
Crescimento +28.44%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%78.67%80.15%81.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.191.181.8789.29%84.00%84.75%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alycia Parks (Local): 19.93%; Alexandra Eala (Visitante): 80.07%. Para Alexandra Eala (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.25. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +49.74%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -62.74%E -33.55%K -72.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +49.74%E +26.60%K +57.17%G +28.44%7.0%2026-08-06 00:50
1xBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -16.31%E -3.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -0.708%E -0.571%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 00:10
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 00:28
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -14.32%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -15.31%E -3.60%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.30%E -5.07%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.31%E -1.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 00:50
Pinnacle🎯4.99I 20.04%NM 19.52%EV -0.569%E -0.114%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.48%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-06 00:49
Coolbet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-06 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.778%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -3.76%E -0.778%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:50
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:50
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:45
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 00:34
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:45
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.72%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:50
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.72%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:50
betano_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.72%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 00:50
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.31%E -3.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.62%E +0.318%K +0.396%G +0.006%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 15:15
theScore Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.34%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -9.34%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:09
DraftKings🎯4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -1.56%E -0.317%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 00:50
GTbets🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.38%EV -2.16%E -0.440%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.62%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 13:50
ReBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 00:04
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:50
Betsson🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.14%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.86%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:50
NordicBet🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.14%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.86%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 00:50
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 15:15
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 00:10
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.33%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 00:49
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.72%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.51%E -4.67%K -30.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 00:09
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:50
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 00:05
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 00:45
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 00:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 00:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.31%E -5.40%K -37.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 00:45
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 15:15
LeoVegas🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.36%E -0.482%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 00:40
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:50
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:50
Bally Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.35%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 00:50
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.35%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 00:29
Fliff🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.11%E -6.13%K -44.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 00:50
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.92%E -6.88%K -52.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.92%E -6.88%K -52.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -8.34%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -8.72%E -7.65%K -62.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -0.369%E -0.074%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.52%E -8.42%K -73.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 19:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.33%E -2.30%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -10.32%E -9.21%K -85.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-06 00:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-08-06 00:50
ProphetX◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-08-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-08-06 00:50
Novig◎4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%1.8%2026-08-06 00:50
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%2.6%2026-08-06 00:50