Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alina Korneeva v Polina Kudermetova

Início: 2026-08-03 15:07 UTC

Final: Alina Korneeva 1–0 Polina Kudermetova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Previsão 65.32%1.53odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.906%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.61%65.21%65.39%66.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.88%68.97%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Polina Kudermetova (Visitante)

Previsão 34.68%2.88odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.407%
Kelly -0.627%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.96%34.79%34.61%36.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.712.752.8538.46%36.86%36.36%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alina Korneeva (Local): 65.32%; Polina Kudermetova (Visitante): 34.68%. Para Polina Kudermetova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.88. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.85, com valor esperado de -1.16%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -1.37%E -0.906%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -5.67%E -2.08%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -1.37%E -0.906%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -8.44%E -3.20%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 07:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -1.37%E -0.906%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -8.44%E -3.20%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 07:44
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 14:55
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 15:01
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.40%E -2.77%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 21:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:39
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.16%E -0.407%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 15:04
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:05
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.94%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 15:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:45
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 09:00
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 06:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 15:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:44
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:50
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 05:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:44
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:45
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 07:45
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 07:45
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 15:04
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:04
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.03%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.97%EV -4.28%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 07:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 15:03
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-08-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-08-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-08-03 15:05
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-03 15:05
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-08-03 15:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-08-03 15:05