Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alina Korneeva v Polina Kudermetova

2026-08-03 14:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Predicción 65.37%1.53momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -6.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.75%65.37%65.37%68.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.441.4873.53%69.83%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Polina Kudermetova (Visitante)

Predicción 34.63%2.89momio equitativo
EV +0.431%
Ventaja +0.149%
Kelly +0.227%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.92%34.63%34.63%36.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.752.9040.00%36.25%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alina Korneeva (Local): 65.37%; Polina Kudermetova (Visitante): 34.63%. Para Polina Kudermetova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.89. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.431%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.431%E +0.149%K +0.227%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -11.10%E -8.16%K -30.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.431%E +0.149%K +0.227%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-02 14:40
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:10
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:09
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.262%E -0.091%K -0.139%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:10
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV -4.56%E -3.12%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -0.954%E -0.334%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 13:30
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.30%E -0.456%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 13:34
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.30%E -0.456%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 12:55
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.65%E -0.580%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -2.34%E -0.830%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:19
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -3.72%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:04
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.26%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.74%EV -3.72%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:04
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.42%E -1.60%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:29
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:30
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:09
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:10
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:24
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:44
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:40
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.56%E -3.12%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:34
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.56%E -3.12%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:45
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.56%E -3.12%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:39
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:29
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -6.84%E -2.54%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:45
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 13:34
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.18%E -5.05%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.23%E -3.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:39
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -9.14%E -6.57%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:04
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:38
betano_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.87%E -4.08%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:50
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.23%EV -10.45%E -7.62%K -28.23%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.77%EV -11.00%E -4.28%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 13:28
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.22%E -3.60%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.69%E -4.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:39
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.27%EV -9.14%E -6.57%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 13:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-02 15:20
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-08-02 15:15
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%1.7%2026-08-02 15:20
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%3.0%2026-08-02 15:20