Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alina Korneeva v Polina Kudermetova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-03 15:07 UTC

Score final : Alina Korneeva 1–0 Polina Kudermetova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Prévision 65.32%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.906%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.61%65.21%65.39%66.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.88%68.97%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Polina Kudermetova (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.68%2.88cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.627%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.96%34.79%34.61%36.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.712.752.8538.46%36.86%36.36%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alina Korneeva (Local) : 65.32% ; Polina Kudermetova (Visiteur) : 34.68%. Pour Polina Kudermetova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.88. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.85, pour une espérance de -1.16% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -1.37%E -0.906%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -5.67%E -2.08%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -1.37%E -0.906%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -8.44%E -3.20%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 07:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -1.37%E -0.906%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -8.44%E -3.20%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 07:44
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 14:55
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 15:01
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.40%E -2.77%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 21:05
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:39
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.16%E -0.407%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 15:04
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 15:05
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.94%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 15:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:45
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 09:00
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 06:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 15:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:44
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:50
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 05:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:44
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 07:45
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 15:04
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 07:45
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 07:45
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 15:04
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:04
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.03%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.97%EV -4.28%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 15:05
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 07:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.25%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 15:03
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 15:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-08-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-08-03 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-08-03 15:05
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-03 15:05
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-08-03 15:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-08-03 15:05