A Escola das Odds

Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens

Início: 2026-06-23 13:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Naomi Osaka (Local)

Previsão 52.57%1.90odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.624%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.32%52.55%52.63%53.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.801.801.8858.14%55.67%55.56%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Previsão 47.43%2.11odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.24%47.45%47.37%48.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.16%50.00%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.17%E -0.624%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.71%E -1.83%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-23 12:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 10:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 10:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.75%E -1.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 10:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 01:39
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.80%E -2.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 10:19
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.76%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 06:19
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 10:20
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 10:20
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 12:30
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.33%E -2.38%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 12:30
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 10:20
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 04:20
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 04:20
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 06:19
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 10:20
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.66%E -2.32%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 12:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 01:40
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 01:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 04:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 04:29
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 12:30
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 04:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 04:39
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 03:39
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 10:20
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 04:40
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 10:20
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 12:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.38%E -2.99%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.88%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 07:39
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.19%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 03:09
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 04:29
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 04:29
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 06:30
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.90%E -3.30%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 10:20
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-23 06:29
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.43%E -3.61%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 04:40
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 03:09
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.48%E -4.25%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 03:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-23 02:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-23 04:49
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-23 04:39
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.01%E -4.58%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.45%E -4.38%K -9.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-23 10:20
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-23 03:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.06%E -5.24%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-23 10:20
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-06-23 10:20
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-06-23 12:30
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-06-23 12:30